In the next five years, China's coking coal demand will continue to grow. According to preliminary estimates of various factors in the relevant departments of the state, by 2015, the total demand for coking coal in the country will increase by 180 million tons, while the output of coking coal in Shanxi Province is estimated to be only 0.8 billion tons, and the increase of coking coal in Other provinces. Limited, leading to a supply and demand gap of about 100 million tons of coking coal in the country at that time, which will form a strong support for the future price of coking coal. To this end, the relevant state departments suggested that during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, large-scale coking coal enterprises should be supported to merge and reorganize small coal mines and integrate small mining rights, encourage large enterprises to strengthen their alliances, and further increase industrial concentration to ensure the supply of coking coal. China's coking coal demand gap or widening The relevant departments of the country have already paid attention to the changes in supply and demand of the coking coal industry. According to the overall forecast, the demand for coking coal in China will continue to grow in the future, but the growth rate will slow down. "Coke is mainly used in steel production, and partly used in calcium carbide, chemical and other industries. In 2010, China produced more than 380 million tons of coke and consumed about 540 million tons of coking coal. As China's urbanization pace continues to accelerate, it is expected to be '12. During the period, China's steel output will continue to grow, but the growth rate will slow down significantly, so the growth rate of coke demand will decline." The relevant state departments said in the analysis report. In addition, as the coking ratio of iron and steel enterprises continues to decrease, the proportion of coal pulverized coal is increased, and technologies such as tamping coke are applied on a large scale, the demand for coking coal in China will also decrease. However, the demand for high quality coking coal will increase. According to analysis, with the development of large-scale ironmaking blast furnaces in China, the demand for high-quality coking coal and fat coal with low ash, low sulfur and strong cohesiveness has increased. “It is estimated that in the next 5-10 years, more than 400 million tons of steel production capacity (less than 2000 cubic meters) will need to be upgraded. With the addition of new capacity, the demand for high quality coking coal and fat coal will increase rapidly.†The department said in the analysis report. It is noteworthy that due to the limited increase in domestic coking coal production (Shanxi is the main supply area), the increase in demand will make supply seem stretched. In fact, since 2006, China's coking coal production has basically stabilized at around 1 billion tons/year. Shanxi, Shandong, Anhui, Heilongjiang, Henan and other provinces are China's major coking coal producing areas, of which Shanxi has the largest output, with a production of 340 million tons in 2010, accounting for 34% of the national total. Shandong, Henan, Heilongjiang and other provinces have entered a period of resource decline, and there is limited room for improvement in coking coal capacity. In the future, the growth of coking coal production will still depend mainly on Shanxi. It is estimated that by 2015, all existing mines under construction in Shanxi Province will be put into operation, and with the addition of new coal mines, the province's coking coal production capacity will increase by 80 million tons per year. However, by 2015, the national demand for coking coal will increase by 180 million tons. The newly added coking coal production in Shanxi Province will be increased by 0.8 billion tons and the coking coal in other provinces will be limited, which will not meet all the demand. Therefore, the national coking coal will be about There are 100 million tons of supply and demand gaps. Moreover, "as the coking coal mining in Shanxi Province is gradually transferred to the next group of coal, the ash and sulfur are gradually increased, and the output of high-quality coking coal and fat coal is gradually reduced, resulting in a growing contradiction between the supply and demand of domestic high-quality coking coal," the report said. Under the above background, the relevant state departments have proposed to support large-scale coking coal enterprises to merge and reorganize small coal mines and integrate small mining rights, encourage large enterprises to strengthen their alliances, and further increase industrial concentration. To ensure a stable supply of coking coal. In addition, relevant departments are still considering the development of special and scarce coal management methods, and the development of special and scarce coal types such as coking coal. The person in charge of the relevant state departments said that it is necessary to increase the exploration of resources in coking coal producing areas such as Shanxi, especially to strengthen the exploration of high-quality coking coal resources, and provide conditions for the construction of new wells. "Strengthen the overall planning and management of coking coal mining areas, do a good job in coking coal development planning, optimize the development layout of coking coal, stop disorderly development and over-exploitation. Select coking coal mines with good conditions, and start construction of large-scale high-quality coking coal mines of a certain scale in due course. Guarantee the stable supply of coking coal," the official said. Due to the low concentration of coking coal industry and the low efficiency of resource exploitation, resource integration still needs to be developed in depth. The reporter learned that the current market price of high-quality coking coal is 2-4 times that of thermal coal. Although high-efficiency development and economical utilization are the mainstream, there are also some small coal mines with low recovery rate due to low equipment level and backward mining methods. In addition, some companies have unilaterally pursued high-yield and high-efficiency abandonment of some thinner coal seams. Take Shanxi Coking Coal Group as an example. The company is the largest coking coal producer in the country. In 2010, coking coal production was 80.04 million tons, accounting for only 24% of Shanxi's total coking coal production. “In the process of promoting resource integration in Shanxi Province, different ownership systems and enterprises of different scales have integrated small coking coal resources with existing coking coal small coal mines and surrounding coking coal resources. Coking coal resources have not been concentrated in large-scale advantageous enterprises, and resource integration needs further Advance in depth." A coal authority said to reporters. The relevant state departments said that it is necessary to gradually phase out the backward coking coal mining process, reform the coal mining method, and improve the resource recovery rate. Accelerate the upgrading of existing washing equipment and continuously improve the yield of clean coal. Support the research and development of coking coal washing and desulfurization technology.
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