International policy trends : Italy has passed the subsidy limit of 6.7 billion euros, and the FIT subsidy will be stopped one month after the deadline is reached. The Italian energy authority has announced that the FIT subsidy for photovoltaic power generation will reach the incentive budget limit on June 6, and will stop issuing on July 6. According to the latest data released by the German Federal Network Administration, in June 2013, Germany added The installed capacity of photovoltaics is approximately 300 MW. In view of the monthly decline rate of the subsidy tax rate, mainly referring to the new PV installation data from July 2012 to March 2013, the monthly FIT reduction of 1.8% in Germany still applies to August, September and October.
Domestic policy trends : In August, the National Development and Reform Commission announced that the photovoltaic power generation subsidy rules were released. According to the local solar energy resource conditions and construction costs, the country was divided into three types of resource areas, each implementing a price standard of 0.9 yuan, 0.95 yuan, and 1 yuan per degree. For the distributed photovoltaic power generation project, the policy of subsidizing electricity price according to the amount of power generation is implemented. The subsidy standard for electricity price is 0.42 yuan per degree. In September, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the “Specification Conditions for Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industryâ€, and the technology and energy for adding new capacity to all aspects of photovoltaics. The consumption indicators have been calibrated in detail, and they are somewhat forward-looking relative to current standards, which can effectively control the disorderly expansion of low-end production capacity. At the same time, it also made provisions on the scale, R&D expenses, capacity utilization and other aspects of the stock enterprises, which is expected to promote the exit of disadvantaged SMEs and accelerate the integration of the industry. In September, the Ministry of Finance issued the Notice on the Value-added Tax Policies for Photovoltaic Power Generation. From October 1st, 2013 to December 31st, 2015, the tax-paying sales of self-produced solar-powered electric power products will be subject to a 50% refund policy.
International market dynamics: In the second quarter of 2013, the US PV market continued to shine. The installed capacity reached 832MW, an increase of 15% from the previous month. Germany's installed data for the first half of the year has already come out, a significant decrease of 58.89% over the entire first half of the year. The installed capacity will be in the range of 3-3.5 GW. The overall installed capacity of Europe will be lowered overall; in the first half of 2013, the cumulative installed photovoltaic capacity in France will reach 4,263 MW. In the first quarter of 2013, the country only increased its 212MW photovoltaic capacity, down 73% year-on-year. The figure for the same period in 2012 was 772MW. In the first half of 2013, the installed capacity of photovoltaics increased significantly, 7.6 times that at the end of 2012.
Domestic market dynamics: In the first half of 2013, China exported 250 million solar cells, an increase of 46.6% over the same period of last year (the same below); value of 5.2 billion US dollars, down 35%; average export price of US$20.7, down 55.7%. The main features of China's solar cell exports in the first half of 2013: monthly export volume climbed month by month, and the average export price continued to fall. Since 2013, the monthly export volume of solar cells in China has continued to increase. The export volume in the month of June was 57.38 million, an increase of 34.2% year-on-year and an increase of 9.5%. At the same time, the average export price fell sharply. In June, it was US$14.5 each, down 46.8% year-on-year and 9.8% quarter-on-quarter.
Listed enterprises : In the first half of 2013, although many companies in the photovoltaic sector continued to decline in performance, due to the serious low base and even loss last year, this year's profitability of the company was driven by the rebound in PV product prices. It must be improved. In the first half of the year, the company's performance increased by a large number of companies, especially near the downstream battery and component companies and inverter companies, the performance of the company increased significantly, showing a large performance elasticity. In the first half of the year, the photovoltaic industry achieved operating income of 37.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, and net profit of -0.2 billion yuan, an increase of 44%. After eliminating the special case of Tianlong Optoelectronics, the net profit growth rate was 42%.
PV forecast: According to the analysis of OFweek Industry Research Center, the total amount of PV installations in China's "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" has been raised several times, and will reach 35G by 2015. By the end of 2012, the cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaics in China has exceeded 8GW. It is expected that the next three years will be There are more than 30G installations, and an average of 10G installations per year. The OFweek Industry Research Center believes that no matter whether it can reach the original market forecast of 8.5GW in 2013, it is not very important. If China's shipments are lower in 2013, the release will be delayed until 2014, which will bring a bigger market outbreak. At the same time, the washing of the industry is more sufficient, which is conducive to the orderly development of the market.
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