Elimination of backward production capacity, red line, multi-industry, production capacity roadmap

Following the steel and coal, the de-capacity roadmap for cement, shipbuilding, electrolytic aluminum, glass and other industries has gradually become clear. The reporter learned that the relevant departments of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology are currently formulating relevant opinions on eliminating the backward production capacity of the above-mentioned industries, so that all backward production capacity is eliminated according to the law, and red lines of environmental protection, energy consumption, quality, safety and technology are set up. The relevant capacity must be withdrawn. On the contrary, it cannot be forcibly eliminated within the scope.
Over the past three decades, China’s economy has experienced rapid growth with demographic dividends and reforms. However, since 2012, demographic dividends have disappeared, investment demand has declined, and global trade has shrunk. Overcapacity continues to worsen, especially coal, steel, cement, Electrolytic aluminum, shipbuilding, glass and other industries are particularly serious. At the end of 2015, the Central Economic Work Conference decided to promote the reform of the supply-side structure. The de-capacity is the top of the five tasks, and the elimination of backward production capacity, the disposal of zombie enterprises, and the promotion of industrial restructuring are the main means.
Zhao Xizi, former honorary president of the Chamber of Commerce of Metallurgical Enterprises of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that steel, as a typical representative of overcapacity industry, has shouted overcapacity for many years, but the result is that the concentration is getting smaller and smaller, the dispersion is getting bigger and bigger, and the production capacity is decreasing. Instead, the more. He said that he had visited several areas such as Shanxi, Shandong, Jiangsu and Hebei, and found that enterprises were not willing to take the initiative to reduce production, resulting in a large number of zombie enterprises, and the vicious circle spiraled up.
The problems in the cement industry are exactly the same. It is understood that in recent years, in the face of the severe situation of overcapacity, market demand decline, and corporate profit decline, some local governments and enterprises have continued to launch new cement projects, and the “containment of new cement capacity” document already issued by the State Council has already been issued. Turn a deaf ear.
According to the China Cement Association, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the country has eliminated backward cement production capacity by about 700 million tons, which mainly includes the elimination of vertical kiln production lines and cement grinding stations, and the actual elimination of backward clinker production capacity is only 300 million tons. During the 12th Five-Year Plan period, the accumulated actual net cement production capacity was 650 million tons. In 2015, the national cement sales volume was 2.35 billion tons, the first decline in 25 years, and nearly half of the industry's enterprises suffered losses.
“The biggest problem with the previous capacity is that it cannot be relied upon. The vast majority is closed according to the size of the equipment, the size of the production capacity, and the size of the enterprise. It is really unreasonable. The state insists that it is necessary to dismantle the customs. Some enterprises say that my The quality of environmentally-friendly energy-consuming products is up to standard. Is it because my company is small in scale and must be eliminated?” said a director of the Southern Provincial Economic and Information Commission, which cannot use administrative means to close enterprises and eliminate backward production capacity. Can be relied upon. This time, the supply-side reform has eliminated the backward production capacity according to law or jumped out of the key to the "more capacity elimination".
Before the Spring Festival of 2016, the steel and coal industry's guiding opinions on resolving the excess capacity to achieve the development of poverty alleviation were announced. It is pointed out that starting from 2016, it will take about 3 to 5 years to withdraw coal production capacity of 500 million tons and reduce 500 million tons of restructuring. Around, and the goal of crude steel de-capacity is to reduce 100 million to 150 million tons in five years. It is worth noting that for the first time, the State Council has clearly defined the scope of shutdown and exit, and set up a number of red lines such as environmental protection, energy consumption, quality, safety, technology, resource scale, operation, and tax payment.
According to the reporter's understanding, the key industries such as cement and electrolytic aluminum are currently working hard to formulate relevant guidance and have completed the first draft. Kong Xiangzhong, executive vice president of China Cement Association, told reporters that there are two means to eliminate backward production capacity. First, it is eliminated through the rule of law and the market. The development of the industry needs a legal basis. Any enterprise must abide by the law and obey the law. Second, through administrative means, The government buys production capacity, which requires the government to handle employee issues and corporate debt claims.
In the battle for cement de-capacity, at least 500 million tons of low-grade production capacity is expected to be eliminated. Kong Xiangzhong suggested that the state should give certain economic compensation to the backwardness of the de-capacity of the cement industry, and set up special funds to solve the problems of employee employment and corporate debt during the process of de-capacity. At the same time, state-owned enterprises have quickly listed the list of "zombie enterprises", using the country's "defective account write-off" policy, "debt write-off" for zombie enterprises and closing; using the policy environment to break through the bottleneck of state-owned assets "preservation and appreciation", bold Decisively stripping off non-performing assets and improving corporate capital structure.
At present, many provinces have also taken action, starting with industries with severe overcapacity such as steel, coal, and cement, and clarifying the hard target of this year's backward capacity reduction. Guangdong recently officially launched the supply-side reform and said that from 2016 to 2018, Guangdong will fully complete the task of eliminating backward production capacity by the state. By 2018, the steel production capacity will be controlled within 40 million tons, and the cement clinker production capacity will be controlled within 110 million tons. The production capacity of flat glass is controlled within 100 million weight boxes, and the total shipbuilding capacity is controlled within 8 million deadweight tons.
The focus of Shanxi's production capacity is in the coal industry. Currently, it is studying the overall plan, optimizing the mine layout, building a 10 million-ton modern mine, optimizing the industrial layout, and promoting the pilot reform of Tongmei and Jinneng Group. At the same time, it will track the relevant fiscal and taxation support, non-performing assets disposal, resettlement of employees, special awards, etc. to resolve the production capacity policy, and actively study the implementation measures and related supporting policies. Ningxia proposed that the production capacity of the six major industries of steel, cement, electrolytic aluminum, coke, ferroalloy and calcium carbide will be 5 million tons within two years. By 2017, the capacity utilization rate of Ningxia will be increased from 50% to 80%. In addition, Hebei's goal is to reach the end of the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan”. The production capacity of steel, cement and flat glass is controlled at 200 million tons, 200 million tons and 200 million weight boxes respectively. Shandong's production capacity is 6 times higher than the national standard. There are more refining and tires in the industry.

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